That how Brian Domitrovic , the only American who understands completely how and why supply-side economics actually works, characterizes our new monetary policy:
The idea is that if all the spending and regulation of the last few years has only resulted in nil growth, stubborn unemployment, whopping budget deficits, and a banking sector nobody believes in, at last increase American jobs and wages through . . . exports. If the dollar goes down against the major currencies, exports will go up, the logic goes, and same thing if the trade penalties get their desired effect.
In other words, the Fed and the president are now outsourcingyes, that word to the rest of the world the burden of getting the domestic American economy recovered.
But of course the world has asked for no such thing. A binge of U.S. exports would be reflected in foreign places by money flowing out-of-country to the U.S. and concomitant declines in employment. Were talking about places like China and especially Europe having to transfer some of their currently distressed living standards to the American people, all because Obamanomics and the earlier Fed feats turned out to be a failure.
Currency war is the term Rickards uses to describe this sort of gamesmanship, which obviously can be played most effectively by powerful counties and at the expense of the less powerful. The presidents supporters have made much of Obamas foreign policy reset with Russia, Europe, Iraq, and the Arab world, and the man won the Nobel Peace Prize, but sure enough he is now embarking on one of the most classic ploys to force the world at its own expense to support the American lifestyle.
Of course theres official denial all over the place. But a big secret like this one is hard to keep. Rickards has fun with the slips that have come from the administration. He quotes the Fed vice-chair Janet Yellen (Obamas appointee) referring to quantitative easing two years ago: The purpose . . . is not to push the dollar down. This should not be regarded as some sort of chapter in a currency war.
But once loosed from her appointment as Obamas economics chair, Christina Romer said soon after: Quantitative easing also works through exchange rates . . . The Fed could engage in much more thorough quantitative easing . . . to further lower . . . the dollar.
OK, so its a currency war, one now really jacked up with QE 3 and the tough trade talk. Sometimes, Rickards is keen to point out, currency wars yield to shooting ones. For all our domestic woe these years of the Great Recession, the full potential wages of the failure of Obamanomics are only now beginning to come into focus.
Listen, Mitt, read and learn, make it your own, and use it October 3.