So I’ve gotten several enthusiastic emails from otherwise smart and sensible people about Romney being up seven in the new Gallup poll. I have to say I’m going to contain my personal enthusiasm until I see that surge confirmed by another poll. It’s not yet.

But there is new reason for hope: RCP now has Romney ahead in the electoral vote—206 to 201, with the other states too close to call. That’s mainly because Michigan and Pennsylvania have been moved into the toss-up category.

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