So here is the RCP link and now for a few quick thoughts,
1. Obama has pulled ahead by .4% in the RCP head-to-head polling average.
2. Obama’s average job approval rating is 49.9%. So I ask one more time, which group is likely to be larger, Obama approvers who vote for Romney or Obama non-approvers who vote for Obama? My gut says that the second group will be larger. But…
3. Which group do you think is larger, decided Obama voters who are saying to pollsters that they are Romney voters/undecided or decided Romney voters who are saying they are Obama voters/undecided? I don’t know if either of those groups are very large but my sense is that the second group would be larger.
4. You can cherry pick swing state polls to make it look like there are enough swing states that are a virtual tie and then believe (hope) that the remaining undecideds will break strongly for Romney. You can tell a non-crazy story that Romney might win Pennsylvania, Michigan, Ohio…But wouldn’t a Romney supporter feel a lot better if Romney was up 2.8% in the aggregate of Ohio state polls rather than down by 2.8%?
November 4th, 2012 | 5:29 pm
Once again, the next US presidential election will be fixed. Mitt Romney will be elected even though Barack Obama would have received more votes in the presidential election. The political assassination will be perpetrated by Bush hiding behind Crossroads GPS, the most influential group of Neocons.
The Neocons will have Mitt Romney elected to first use him and then let him fall easy prey. All blames and responsibilities will fall on the new Mormon president for the events already planned.
The new World War of Religion is already a done deal behind the backs of all people to bring chaos and poverty and to favor in the end one New World Order
……………
Since 9/11 it’s the War on Terror
One “false flag” attack so called by error
Blair, Bush, and Israel had a Pact in store
Their next surprise is knocking at your door
A hidden vile Idea from those who want “more”
will use you and your Belief for the next World War
As “chosen people” gain while Humankind loses
Greed wins not by the swords but by the words of Moses
Daring is to tell you when, better then to tell you rhymes
could not side with either one to get ready for our times
to look beyond and past today to seek for a solution
one only hope is there for you and spells Wavevolution
……………….
A new type of Revolution wins with the ultimate weapon:
Your Mind
http://www.wavevolution.org/en/humanwaves.html