HN: Liked the Monty reference; have elsewhere referred to him as Germany's greatest Field Marshal of the WWII portion of the Long War.
Spengler wrote:The prospect of civil wars raging simultaneously in Pakistan, Afghanistan and Iraq is no longer improbable. The Israel-Palestine issue is linked to all of these through Iran [...]
'No longer improbable' ? More like, never was improbable but rather moderately likely ... concur; probability trend is upward.
Spengler wrote:If America lost its dominant superpower status in the West, the dollar no longer could serve as a global reserve currency. To the superpower goes the seigniorage, the state's premium for providing a currency.
STILL the case ... not limited to Cold War portion of the Long War.
Spengler wrote:All of this may change drastically, quickly, and for the worse [...] We are entering a very, very dangerous period as a result.
Concur. And yet, a period which presents plenty of low-cost options for the strong of mind / constitution and a good deal of flexibility (tactical, strategic and logistical).
General commentary -
Have suggested on Spengler forum
: there are no Superpowers (as typically envisioned); only Great Powers, of which US foremost, mostly since Long War's inception (circa 1890 by my estimation). US far weaker far longer than typically acknowledged.
Cold War (and broader) Great Powers competition involved (still does) subversion, intrigue, arm-twisting, bribery, blackmail and all the related ... by ALL actors where / when / how they perceive it to be in their interest and within capacity to execute.
No connection(s) between / amongst PR China, 'Iran', PAK and wider groupings ??? Total SAS, SCO and Gwadar harbormaster refer, for starters ... please don't notice the spate of MoU's inked following 20 Jan 09 (alt: 4 Nov 08), much less history's largest (dollar value) contract exercised following NIE release circa Dec 07. Said contracts are not for pistachios or rugs.
How much is new under the sun ... ? I'm so forgetful.
... guessing First Things
board may not be the place to mention such advanced geopolitical considerations as the interdependence of international and domestic matters, let alone reference the 'plywood' trade.
US problems began long before 4 Nov 08; owing primarily to pervasive influence of Frankfurt School and Middle America's growing saturation with socialism. As the resource pool evaporates, strategic consolidation becomes imperative ... one challenge remains avoiding self-reinforcing downward spiral.
Ass't Dir of Thread Killing, GS-15
FN:Must disagree with para 7's [State of] 'Israel's supporters [...] Alan Dershowitz';
Despite his appearance on conventional orbats in the pro-Israel category, Dershowitz is identified by Middle America goyim as part of the opposition. Note that legal beagles are generally not well-regarded in such circles; only slightly less disreputable profession than used-car salesmen. Add to this outspoken opposition to "under G-d", Winter Solstice -related pseudo-Christian public artifacts, and various other matters of typology ...
Worse yet, Dershowitz wrote an afterward to Saving the Jews (Rosen, 2006), reportedly popular in anti-Jewish circles. Its Chapter XVII is titled, "American Jewish Patriots, Palestinian Jewish Terrorists and the 'Irgunist Hoax' " ... and overall work champions (revisionist) history consistent with Progressive secular hagiography in re: FDR. An afterward contribution does not signify disagreement with fundamental premises ...
Dershowitz is one indicator of the internal problems of world Jewry which inhibit pro-Judaism actions and diminish probability of continued Jewish presence in Eretz Yisrael.