The current Eurozone crisis may end up as a defining moment in post-War European, and indeed American, history. Most of my leftist friends regarded the financial crisis of 2008 as a “market failure” that vindicated their views about the evils of capitalism. The debt crisis in Europe offers no such consolations to modern liberals, who may now be facing their Waterloo.
That’s because it is very hard to ignore that the Eurozone crisis concerns sovereign debt. Greek bonds have become toxic because of decades of political decisions. Spanish, Portuguese, and Italian bonds may go the same way, and for the same reasons. It is important, therefore, to understand these political decisions, for they have not only created problems in Europe but also here in the United States as well. They can be summed up with a single term: social democracy. Thus at the end of this decade we may find ourselves looking back and summing it up with a single phrase: the end of social democracy.
After the traumas on the Great Depression and World War II, the great imperative in the West was stability. This was perhaps clearest in Italy and Germany, the former Axis countries where, with strong encouragement from the victorious Americans, leaders emerged who were committed to brokering a new social contract that combined the openness of free market capitalism with the encompassing and egalitarian concern for social welfare that made socialism attractive to many.
Fans of Ayn Rand and Friedrich Hayek will certainly decry this system, but I find myself marveling at its achievements. Social democracy’s most important accomplishment was that it made ordinary workers indifferent to the appeals of communist organizers by spreading the wealth of modern industrial society.
Social democracy was and remains organized around the singular goal of creating and sustaining a large and satisfied middle class. This paid dividends when the threat was Soviet dominated communism, but even then there was a management fee, as it were.
Markets provide crucial information. An open employment market would give me accurate information about job opportunities and compensation, allowing me to make choices accordingly. Social democracy has always muted these market signals, using regulations, subsidies, and taxation as it must in order to create the conditions for a large middle class.
Stability is also threatened by the ups and downs of the business cycle. Modern governments organized along the lines of a social democracy adopted large-scale economic policies to meet this threat. The first were Keynesian strategies of stimulus spending to mute these cyclical extremes. Then after the groundbreaking work of Milton Friedman monetary strategies were added to the tool kit and are now used to achieve much the same goal.
Economists argue back and forth about the merits of these macroeconomic strategies, and I don’t have enough expertise to even have an opinion. But one aspect is clear. Both Keynesian and monetary policies have effects similar to regulation, subsidy, and taxation. They mute and distort market signals. For example, the market says that ten year Treasury notes are worth buying if they pay 3 percent interest. Once the Fed gets done injecting billions and billions of dollars into the financial system, the market buys them if they pay 2 percent.
Many commentators have pointed out that exactly these distorted market signals led many Americans to over-invest in the housing market, pushing up prices and creating the bubble that eventually burst. What goes unnoticed is the far greater and far more important effects of this distortion, which as I’ve argued in intrinsic to social democracy.
How important is it for me to work? How much? How long? Where should I live? What kind of training should I seek? Should I get married and have children? It is absurd to imagine that markets signals dictate our answers to these questions. But it is equally absurd to imagine that market signals are irrelevant. And this is at the root of the crisis we face today. The simple fact is that the goal of social democracy—stability in and through policies designed to create and protect middle class life—has for a long time insulated most citizens in Western nations from economic reality.
The most obvious example is globalization. New York is full of very wealthy men and women who work in finance, media, and other new economy jobs. They are exquisitely sensitive to the opportunities presented by globalization. Dearborn, Michigan? Youngstown, Ohio? Decades of policies that are too multifaceted and interlocking to admit of analysis much less summary have been deployed by well-meaning politicians and economic experts to protect them from exactly the market signals that make hedge fund managers rich.
I could give countless other examples, and they point to the same conclusion. The success of social democracy—it really has secured a high degree of social stability organized around middle class life—comes at a price that we are about to pay. After decades of protection the vital center of social democracy is now ill equipped to deal with economic pressures that we are faced with.
The last three decades have exacerbated this problem. Western European and American leaders have largely been organizing economic policies around the goal of exposing just enough of us to market pressures to take advantage of globalization so as to have a pot of wealth to draw upon to subsidize middle class life.
The sovereign debt crisis suggests that this strategy cannot be sustained. Some think we can kick the can down the road by raising taxes on the rich, but eventually the crisis of government debt will require the middle class to pay down government debt, which can be done either by way of taxation, inflation, or default, all of which are ways of harvesting wealth from the middle class.
Our political leaders will find this very hard to do, because it amounts to breaking the post-War social contract. The purpose of social democracy is to protect the middle class, not to burden them. Indeed, the middle class in the West is already profoundly burdened by the economic pressures of globalization. Making them pay for past decades of protection may in fact destroy the middle class, or at least so fatally wound it as to fundamentally change the social character of Western democracies.
I am no more eager to face this future than are the (mostly) honorable but anxious and increasingly disarmed European and American politicians. But I’m afraid you and I must. For the paradoxical legacy of social democracy—its efforts to protect middle class life for the sake of social stability—is the root of our problems today.
R.R. Reno is Editor of First Things. He is the general editor of the Brazos Theological Commentary on the Bible and author of the volume on Genesis. His previous “On the Square” articles can be found here.
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Comments:
Think about what all those people who brought the Wall down wanted. Did they want capitalism red in tooth and claw, or did they want West German wirtshaftswunderlich social democracy? The answer is clear.
I usually agree with you, but it appears that you are celebrating and bemoaning the sucess and failure of "social democracy" without acually touching on the reasons for the same - paying for the benefits of today with the promises of tomorrow. This simple concept of deferring difficult choices is a useful coping mechanism for the "short term", but as an indefinite strategy, leads to the entirely foreseeable extant circumstances.
In relation to the entire universe our lives are very small. And yet our relationship to the world around us is the most important thing we have. How we choose to live our lives, what we choose to leave behind, the choices we make impact the world and all around us. The markets may not dictate the answer to the questions above, but they certainly impact them.
But it's become abundantly clear that the War on Terror doesn't operate like the battles of the past. And social democracy benefits the single mothers and retirees, not the young, healthy, religious families making investments for the future. So now you have the Tea Party, which is rage against taxation but also rage against the fact that the future belongs to single mothers and retirees.
So, as HT says above, the Right preaches Instability as a virtue. They tell each other and their children to get ready for poverty, religious persecution, and bloodshed. They buy seeds and ammunition and pray.
In the old days they probably would have just moved West. Today it's the call to leaven the world and engage it. We've run out of running room.
If the "super-committee" is any indication, it looks unlikely that politicians are either willing to pay a political price or capable of seriously confronting these problems. Can anyone recall our leaders ever succeeding at addressing such a complex and painful set of problems in the past? I cannot. Even the Great Depression looks straight-forward in comparison.
Here is a very telling little anecdote: after the Liberation, Michel Debré at first supported the Democratic and Socialist Union of the Resistance, but defected to the Radical-Socialist Party on the advice of General de Gaulle, who reportedly told him and several other politicians, including Jacques Chaban-Delmas, « Allez au parti radical. C'est là que vous trouverez les derniers vestiges du sens de l'Etat » – "Go to the radical party. It is there that you will find the last vestiges of the meaning of the state."
The centre parties everywhere lack the will to discipline the masses to their responsibilities – they have lost all « sens de l'Etat »
Paul Ryan speaks of the "opportunity society with the safety net."
How will people in the West afford housing, medical care, education in the future, let alone a comfortable life? Will the middle class disappear into the ranks of the poor, led by an extremely rich upper class? Will their disenfranchisement lead to social upheaval in a violently cyclical economy without "safety nets"?
I'm dying to hear the libertarian/market supremacist answer.
The current civilization constitutes a form of propaganda that has driven humankind to the point of self-destruction. This is particularly evident in the USA where the military-industrial-complex is now the primary cultural influence, the values of which now permeate every fraction of the USA body-politic. As such it is quite literally a "culture" of death.
At the present time there is less and less true civilization left in the world. The truly civilizing principles are, more and more being abandoned for the sake of the "culture" of consumerism in which human beings are now everywhere participating.
The civilizing principles that allow human functioning to demonstrate the inherently moral disposition of prior unity have already been destroyed, especially as a result of the terrible course of the 20th century, and beginning with World War I. World War I and World War II were, effectively, the self-destruction of global civilization - such as it existed.
Now nothing but narcissistic consumer-"culture" remains, and the consequent human devastation.
The human world is now in a state of virtually infinite fragmentation, in which the individual feels powerless and is just thinking of him or her self as some kind of consumer -ego to be titillated and satisfied. This is especially so in the USA where the anti-"culture" of competitive individualism rules, and where the propagandized population is quite literally amusing itself to death. USA culture is now the leading edge example of the dis-topian scenarios described in both Huxley's Brave New World, and Orwell's 1984.
The global state of humankind is thus both absurd and dark.
One of my favorite Hayek quotes: "Put "social" before almost any noun, and the resulting phrase has no meaning."
The poorest 5% of the USA population lives better than about 65% of the seven billion people on this earth.
The practical position of the OWS movement is that no more discoveries or inventions will occur to change our future. Since there will be no more Edisons, or Fords, or Gates’s or Jobs, the government should set policies to prevent anyone from acquiring or owning great wealth.
The Obama administration and others who think that government should control and anoint all future developments fail to understand the historical connection between private property as protected by the US Constitution, the patent laws and the success of inventors of new products in the USA. If we voters and our governments destroy the environment that allows developers of new products to become wealthy, new world-changing products will not be developed here; and our standard of living will inevitably decline toward that of the poorer nations in our world.
TeaPot562
We have brainwashed ourselves into believing that the two economic models are mutually exclusive because we constantly stare at purist models of democracy and communism. We created the myth that the two cannot survive in the same space. Watch as the myths are blown away when china appropriates and develops technologies that leave behind the i-pads and the cruise missiles and instead creates its own brands. As for the phrase "outdoing western capitalism" china is america's biggest creditor at the moment, so who got outdone?
Now back to what you were saying. I agree that capitalism can exist in some form under communism, as can be seen in China. Yes, it's a myth that capitalism and communism are incompatible. But communism and democracy are still incompatible. Democracy is imperfect because people are imperfect, but communism is an unqualified evil in theory and practice. To the extent that economic benefits are being created in China, it is in spite of communism. It is because the members of the communist leader class, many of whom received advanced degrees from Western universities, are allowing capitalism to exist because they see the benefits.
Regarding the separate and distinct issues of trade imbalances and outsourcing, this gets into deeper economics than I'm comfortable to comment on much. I would just caution that it can be misleading to view states as people and extrapolate arguments about who is "winning" based on a single measure such as who is the largest holder of another's debt.
Regarding technology, we shall see. The innovations seem to come from freer societies. But if Chinese firms create better technologies, good for them. They can participate in the material betterment of humanity in the same way as innovations from Japan, the US and Germany, for example.
http://www.catholicregister.org/news/international/item/13384-popes-critique-of-global-economic-system-resurfaces-in-africa
FIAT fractional reserve banking predates the social reconstruction of the post-WWII era - lender of last resort to WWI social de-construction paved the way for instability and global discord, the dollar's hegemony as world reserve currency is a uniquely American "structure of sin"
Flourishing trade predates the nation state by millenia, human cultures proliferated by diversifying their capacities to sustain life (salt got traded for pine balsam, for instance, the one preserves food from corruption, the other preserves wounds from infection). Consider how folks practice this age old skill set in Bazaaristan:
http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/10/28/black_market_global_economy?page=full
an upstart entrepreneur evades the public authorities and goes to China to get for himself what his own government n incapable of providing - electricity! And this is happening in oil rich (yet very Dollar-corrupted) Nigeria...
Trade imbalances are only consequences of capitalist ventures or misadventures. Outsourcing is not too profound, it is still ordinary capitalism across the seas.
"The innovations seem to come from freer societies."
Please be careful with such a statement, Dave. The derivatives of wall street infamy are sad examples of such innovations.
I think time will show that the signals that you take to be real are perverse incentives created through financial engineering or are consequences of that engineering. Hedge funds, investment banks, and political regulators have been operating within a financial environment of their own creation that attempts to overcome reality. Most citizens have not been insulated or protected from reality. Rather, they have only partially participated in the engineered unreality while bearing many consequences of it.
The very small elite who completely control China have personal records of inhumanity and genocide. They are the monsters of the Red Guard, now middle aged. They are at war with us. Therefore commerce with China is deeply immoral. One of many recent books that amply document China’s naked intention to conquer the USA is “Bowing to Beijing: How Barack Obama is Hastening America's Decline and Ushering A Century of Chinese Domination.”
I was told a story, perhaps just a illustrative fiction, about amoral capitalism. It was said that IBM’s Thomas J. Watson, set up an early punched card sorter to aid The Third Reich management of their death camps. It was profitable.
We have fallen deeply in love with an amoral and unpatriotic capitalism at the same time we have fallen out of love with ourselves and with our God.
It is said that generals always fight the last war, especially if they have won it. Our deluded idea of what constitutes contemporary weapons of war amounts to belief in a Maginot Line. I have seen the enemy's face. He is in Walmart buying a weapon for his enemy to use against him. It is a vanity mirror made in China. The face in the mirror is mine.



