Today’s polls show that Romney has stopped the bleeding in Michigan, and he’s about tied with Santorum.
Nationwide Romney and Santorum both run within the margin of error of Obama. The USA TODAY actually shows Romney ahead beyond that margin. Obama has slipped some. Divide up into small groups and figure out why. Santorum runs ahead of Romney among Republicans, but the margin is not large.
The Georgia poll shows about a three-way tie with Santorum surging and Gingrich rather rapidly declining. The poll at the Republican mass meeting in my rural Floyd County GA was decidedly for Santorum. Only a debate can save Newt now? Well, nobody believes that now.
The Arizona poll results vary, but a Santorum victory is far from impossible.
So: Romney could win in both Michigan and Arizona, pick up some momentum, win most places on Super Tuesday and come close to wrapping things up.
Or: Santorum could win in both Michigan and Arizona, get enough mo’ to win easily in both Ohio and Georgia (and elsewhere) on Super Tuiesday, and then . . . ?
Or: Somewhere in between, which would leave Romney pretty damaged but still not in terrible shape. In between means Santorum falls short of the Michigan, Ohio, Georgia sweep. Arizona ain’t important.
It’s possible this Arizona debate will be some kind of game changer, but I have my doubts.
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