So I’ll be in Chicago from Wednesday evening through very early Saturday morning at the Hotel Intercontinental on Michigan Avenue. It’s the last of our SCIENCE OF VIRTUES grant-recepient conferences. Among the duties we’ve been given (in the spirit of science) is to make a brief . . . . Continue Reading »
1. It will be a victory for Romney if he gets significantly more than 30% of the vote in AL or MS. I have my doubts. 2. Sean Trende is explaining on RCP than in the Republican primaries DEMOGRAPHY is trumping MOMENTUM. I could quibble with the details of Sean’s social science, but the basic . . . . Continue Reading »
Polls show that AL and MS are pretty much three-way ties, with the not-Romney vote, of course, split down the middle. That kind of result helps Romney, of course. Other good news is that Romney runs ahead of Obama in a 2nd poll. Question: Why are Republicans so fatalistic when they’re . . . . Continue Reading »
Did you know that William F. Buckley, Jr., considered The Lives of Others the best film he had seen in many years? Did you know that the central accomplishment of the film, is that while true tales of communist regimes slaughtering 2 million here(Cambodia), 30 million there(Mao’s 1958 . . . . Continue Reading »
Santorum won big in Kansas. I don’t think it makes much difference. It is more evidence of Mitt’s evangelical problem that has little to do with the South. Good Romney stats: He’s up double-digits over Santorum among Republicans and five (in one poll) over Obama. Good news for . . . . Continue Reading »
Sean Trende , an impressive analyst and my new buddy, says that it’s possible Mitt will come up short delegate-wise. For one thing, March may well be brutal for him, and he may not actually win that many states from now on. For another, his firewalls of New York and California may not hold. . . . . Continue Reading »
1. It has to be a little frustrating being Romney right now. They last two weeks went about as well as they could have, and he still only won Ohio by 1%. Most Republican voters in most places just don’t want him. Just barely enough are reconciling themselves to . . . . Continue Reading »
And a suggestion of an easy way out. . . . . Continue Reading »
So the “Super” results of yesterday on were on the low side of what the polls were predicting for Romney. I’m surpised, because I thought the polls were showing a Santorum collapse. Romney barely averted what would have been an energizing win for Santorum in Ohio. But even the . . . . Continue Reading »
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