So to get your mind over the election, I thought I’d post more from my BYU talk on the Christian view of the family. This is in the form of a speculative draft, and so I welcome your comments and criticisms. St. Augustine ranks the personal satisfactions of the family, despite their . . . . Continue Reading »
That Henry Olsen article linked by Pete is the most penetrating account of the election’s likely outcome I’ve seen. Olsen ends up agreeing with the RCP no-tie number (and more or less Nate Silver’s number) for Obama—303 electoral votes. He also explains what we already knew: . . . . Continue Reading »
Part of my probably excessive sense of civic duty is the compulsion to work as a judge at the polls during heavy elections. This year, I will be a presiding judge in a local precinct. The wonderful lady who used to do this job is old and ill. Only a fool signs up for a grueling . . . . Continue Reading »
Thanks to CJ for giving us the link to the Bessette/Pitney textbook prediction. Basically: A narrow Obama victory both popular and electoral, with the not-that-good possibility of a Romney PA victory tipping the balance the other way. I won’t, of course, be making any predictions myself. . . . . Continue Reading »
So Flagg Taylor of RICOCHET fame writes in response to my dissing of his very pro-Romney election prediction: I love that I am now lumped in with Mr. Barone. The only way most of these state polls can be accurate is if the electorate looks like it did in 2008. I’m betting more like 2010. And . . . . Continue Reading »
I do think that Flagg at RICOCHET and Michael Barone at THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER are at the outer limits of credibility. The new PEW poll has Obama up three, and with a larger lead than that when it comes to strong supporters. The poll makes the true point that strong support is usually the best . . . . Continue Reading »
So here is the RCP link and now for a few quick thoughts, 1. Obama has pulled ahead by .4% in the RCP head-to-head polling average. 2. Obama’s average job approval rating is 49.9%. So I ask one more time, which group is likely to be larger, Obama approvers who vote for . . . . Continue Reading »
So this morning we have major state newspaper polls reporting from OH and PA. At the end of the day, we know that if Romney carries one of those two states, he has a good chance of winning—but no lock. If he carries them both, he will lock it down. If he loses them both, you have to be a . . . . Continue Reading »
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