A Restrained Case For Romney

1. Ramesh Ponnuru makes a realistic and thoughtful case for Romney. I would add that I don’t for a second trust Romney’s instincts on judicial appointments. If he becomes President, Romney will already have plenty of fights with the left-of-center related to the related issues of the . . . . Continue Reading »

The Tie That Bores

1. So Romney is still up by .8% in the RCP head-to-head, but Obama’s average job approval has rebounded to 49.7% from its weekend low of around 48%. So we’re back to wondering if the remaining undecideds will break in the direction of the challenger or the direction of the . . . . Continue Reading »

Romney has it.

I am not presenting much new about the election and the political scientists here have far more information than I do, by profession.  However, observing the political scene and responding to the recent posts here, I feel compelled to weigh in.  I believe Romney is winning the . . . . Continue Reading »

Political Notes

1. Romney has reached the arbitrary but psychologically significant (for me and maybe only for me) lead of 1% in then RCP average. That is his biggest lead since October 13. More importantly, Obama’s average job approval is down to 48.3% . That is the lowest his job approval has been since . . . . Continue Reading »

Quick Election Notes

1. Romney’s lead in the RCP head-to-head average is only .9% but Romney is leading by 2%-3% in five of the last six polls. The IBD/TIPP poll is an outlier. I see no reason to believe they have it right while everyone else has it wrong (I felt the same way when most polls were showing an Obama . . . . Continue Reading »

Death by Presidential Order

Conor Friedersdorf asks about the president’s kill list, drones, and Abdulrahman al-Awlaki, 16 years old and an American citizen, who was the son of the late Anwar al-Awlaki, who was also born in America, who was also an American citizen, and who was also killed by drone.  There is a . . . . Continue Reading »

I’m Part Of An Important Demographic…

that is made up of people who went to bed early or watched Monday Night Football instead of seeing the debate (I went to bed early btw.) Did anyone see anything that will change anybody’s mind? Did anybody see anything that will get undecided voters to finally make up their minds? Here is . . . . Continue Reading »

Imagine Something Had To Give

According to Real Clear Politics, the average of the presidential head-to-head is tied at about 47% each (it is Obama +.2% but close enough.)  Obama’s job approval average is still between 49% and 50%.  This time in 2004, George W. Bush  had the exact same job approval average . . . . Continue Reading »

Quick Hits

1. There is some good news for Romney in the coming foreign policy debate. The expectations for Romney’s performance among the political class are as low as they could be. The Libya thing ironically helps here. People are expecting the love child of Inspector Clouseau and Buck Turgidson, so . . . . Continue Reading »